September 11, 2025

The Future of Hydrological and Meteorological Services in Canada

An expert panel report

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Summary

Weather impacts everyone and influences a wide variety of government, industry, and personal decision-making, including emergency preparedness, climate adaptation, and travel plans. The Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) is responsible for providing accurate and timely forecasts for everyone in Canada.

Public hydro-meteorological services, such as the MSC, are operating at a transformative time—the public is accessing information in new ways, the impacts of climate change are being felt across the country, and AI has the potential to radically change how services are delivered. In addition to these trends, Canada’s weather service is subject to changing geopolitical structures and financial constraints. To better understand current and future challenges, the MSC asked the CCA to convene an expert panel to examine the essential functions of a public hydro-meteorological service in the context of technological and other trends.

The Future of Hydrological and Meteorological Services in Canada highlights the essential functions of Canada’s weather service in the context of key trends and considers how the delivery of these functions could be improved. The report examines how the MSC could support leadership and coordination both at home and abroad and meet evolving user needs through engagement and critical communication strategies and products.

Sponsor: Environment and Climate Change Canada (Meteorological Service of Canada)

Question: What are the essential functions of Canada’s public meteorological service, and how are these changing in the context of climate change, new technology, a shifting information landscape, and other trends?

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Close
  • Three trends are changing the way hydro-meteorological services are built and delivered: (i) technological advances, particularly artificial intelligence and machine learning; (ii) an expanding information environment and global weather enterprise; and (iii) climate change, which is causing more extreme weather events that threaten the lives and prosperity of Canada and its people.
  • These trends, coupled with changing geopolitical structures and financial constraints, underscore the need to improve the efficiency and adaptability of the MSC.
  • Essential and foundational functions of the MSC need to be maintained. These essential functions include backbone infrastructure—such as a country-wide observation system and modelling capabilities—critical to Canada’s weather enterprise and climate change adaptation strategy.
  • An effective warning system is essential for public safety. Critical communications, such as alerts about dangerous weather events, need to be clear, accurate, accessible, valuable, and of use to the intended audiences.
  • It is essential that the MSC lead by facilitating collaboration with the broader hydro-meteorological ecosystem—including other orders of government, private companies, NGOs, the media, and academia—and continue to maintain strong relationships with international meteorological organizations to support improved services in Canada.
  • Thoughtful prioritization of the activities of the MSC, a strategic increase in the involvement of partners, a clear understanding of user needs, and responding to threats to the integrity of an increasingly complex global hydro-meteorological ecosystem are critical to ensuring high quality service.
  • Updating and diversifying skills within the MSC and strengthening ongoing partnerships (both domestic and international) will help resist fragmentation of services and improve end-to-end resilience of forecasts and warnings.
  • Leadership, communication, and coordination skills are as relevant to the beneficial delivery of hydro-meteorological services as are modelling and forecasting skills.
  • By embracing standards, building partnerships, and taking a stronger leadership role where needed, MSC can leverage its resources to maximize efficiency and return on investment while protecting Canadian sovereignty, safety, and prosperity.

Expert Panel

An expert panel report

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